In this seminar, I will argue that a seismic shift is currently taking place in the lead-up to the 2014 presidential elections. After having been populated by conventional political figures for years (Megawati, Bakrie, Prabowo), opinion polls now show Joko Widodo (“Jokowi”) as the front-runner. This shift is only comparable to Yudhoyono’s entry into the political race in 2003. Indeed, the moment and size of Jokowi’s lead are more forceful and compelling than Yudhoyono’s more than a decade ago. In my talk, I will explain why Jokowo’s lead is unlikely to erode; why he is going to run; why he is going to be nominated - and most importantly, why he is going to win.